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Recykal Price Intelligence Platform

An AI-native price intelligence engine for Recykal's B2B recyclables marketplace: 14-day forward price prediction with empirical confidence bands and BUY, SELL and NEUTRAL trade signals across material grades and city clusters.

Recykal Price Intelligence Platform
// overview

A forward price prediction platform for recyclable commodities such as plastics, paper and metals, where a margin swing of a few paise per kg on a truckload decides where a dispatch goes. It ingests daily regional index feeds and shipment ledgers into a feature store, then runs a rolling competition between EWMA, Damped Holt and Drift models to generate a 14-day forward curve for every material grade across active city clusters. Confidence is empirical: the upper and lower bands come from the actual 10th and 90th percentiles of backtested residuals per horizon step, not a flat assumed margin. On top of the forecast, an economic-threshold engine emits BUY, SELL or NEUTRAL signals by weighing the projected 14-day slope against real holding, freight and liquidation costs. An analytics dashboard tracks MAPE and residuals against ground-truth quotes, and a clean REST API serves the whole feed into Recykal's own app.

// specs

Specifications

HorizonDaily projected price points from t+1 to t+14 per material grade and city cluster
ModelsRolling multi-model competition across EWMA, Damped Holt and Drift
ConfidenceEmpirical residual bands from the 10th and 90th percentiles of backtested residuals per horizon step
DeliveryClean REST API feed of spot indices, forecasts, bands and signals for the existing app
// features

Features

  • 0114-day forward price curve per material grade across active city clusters such as Jalna, Coimbatore, Hyderabad and Pune
  • 02Empirical residual confidence bands from the 10th and 90th percentiles of backtested residuals, not flat assumed margins
  • 03Form-factor tiering so loose scrap, baled material and regrind or flakes are priced distinctly
  • 04BUY, SELL and NEUTRAL signals triggered by the projected slope against holding, freight and liquidation costs
  • 05Model performance dashboard with historical trendlines, forward curves, MAPE and residual tracking
  • 06Signal breakdown that explains the exact economic threshold behind each recommendation
  • 07Clean REST API exposing spot indices, 14-day forecasts, confidence bands and trade signals for the existing app
// architecture

Architecture

PREDICTION FLOW

Regional index feeds + shipment ledgers
Feature store
Multi-model 14-day forecast + residual bands
Feature Store
Prediction Engine
Trade Signals
Analytics Dashboard
Trade signals + REST API

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// end of case studyRecykal Price Intelligence Platform